NATIONAL SECURITY SEMINAR
Strategic Considerations for Leaders
June 3-7, 2013
November 4-8, 2013
Increasing threats to national security pose unprecedented challenges to the United States both at home and abroad. Designed to prepare military and civilian officials to meet these challenges, these senior-level seminars will explore the most effective leadership strategies to address security challenges facing the United States. The National Security Seminar: Strategic Considerations for Leaders will cover a range of issues, including the latest regional risk assessments, inter-governmental initiatives, congressional budgeting, and manpower allocations. This seminar will examine:
- The changing political, economic, and military factors that shape the national security environment of the United States
- The process by which U.S. national interests and policies are formulated in the face of regional and global threats and opportunities
- Contemporary national defense policies, force structure and budgetary choices, alternative strategies, visions, and operational requirements
- Emerging trends that may affect the U.S. strategic posture and shape the debate over the nature and scope of U.S. defense and external commitments
- Immediate and potential transformations in modes of conflict, including issues of asymmetric and network centric warfare
- National defense and deterrence strategies and the technological, economic, and political forces that give rise to and emerge from these approaches.
To begin the National Security Seminar: Strategic Considerations for Leaders, Dr. Robert S. Wood, Dean Emeritus of the Center for Naval Warfare Studies, will explore with the group the key social, political, economic, and technological trends that are shaping the global environment and the changing international configuration of power and influence. This will include a consideration of the relative importance of different factors in the rise and decline of national power and the relation between the evolution of domestic political economies and the exercise of international influence. In attempting to forecast future challenges and policy options, the group will seek to define the nature of American political culture and national interests and the consequent constraints and opportunities they present in policy formulation and execution.
Through a series of off-the-record briefings, strategic simulations, and group discussions, attendees will study national security policy from conception to implementation. Speakers will focus on challenges the U.S. faces in specific parts of the world, including Europe, the Middle East, China, Africa, and Latin America, as well as the oceans and strategic waterways. Speakers will examine topics including the operational structure of terror groups and rogue states, and address key issues such as nuclear weapons proliferation, cyber security threats, and the complexities involved in the protection of the U.S. infrastructure. Topics include:
- Globalization and U.S. National Security: Are American Institutions at Risk?
- Military Transformation: National Defense Budgets in an Age of Austerity
- Ethnic and Religious Challenges to American National Interests
- Terror and Transnational Crime: A Global Overview
- China — From Debt to Cyber Attacks: Factors that Influence Leadership and Decision-making
- Africa: U.S. Political, Economic, and Strategic Interests
- The Middle East: U.S. Security Challenges in a Changing Region
- The Evil Empire, Political Leadership and the New World Order: Reflections From a Soviet Defector
- The Re-emergence of Socialism and the Implications to U.S. Economic and National Security
- Post-Soviet Central Asia: Seedbed for Terrorism for the 21st Century
- The United States and Europe: Cooperation, Conflict and Economic Uncertainty
- Latin America: Social Democrats, Populists and U.S. National Interests
- Strategic Theory and the Use of Military Power in the 21st Century
- Nation-building in Iraq and Afghanistan: A Case Study
- Demographics and Social Change: What the Numbers Tell Us
- The Foundations of National Security Leadership: A View from Both Ends of the Avenue
- Conducting International Business: Security, Enterprise and Commerce
The following list highlights speakers who have participated in previous Alan L. Freed Associates National Security Seminars.
Robert S. Wood, Dean Emeritus, Center for Naval Warfare Studies and Chester Nimitz Chair of Foreign Policy and National Security, U.S. Naval War College, Newport, Rhode Island
Ashley Tellis, Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Former Senior Advisor to the Ambassador, U.S. Embassy, New Delhi
Aaron David Miller, Fellow, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars; Former Advisor to six Secretaries of State on Arab-Israeli Negotiations
Yuri Maltsev, Soviet Defector; Former Senior Economist, Academy of Sciences of the USSR; Professor, Carthage College, Wisconsin
Victor Cha, Former Director for Asian Affairs, National Security Council; Korea Foundation Chair, Asian Studies and Government, School of Foreign Service, Georgetown University
Afshin Molavi, Fellow, New America Foundation; Author, Persian Pilgrimages: Journeys Across Iran
Richard Rahn, Chairman, Institute for Global Economic Growth; Former Vice-President and Chief Economist, U.S. Chamber of Commerce
Lucian Niemeyer, Professional Staff Member, Senate Armed Services Committee; Readiness and Management Support Subcommittee
Dean Cheng, Research Fellow on Chinese Political and Security Affairs, The Heritage Foundation
Ambassador James Dobbins, Director, International Security and Defense Policy Center, RAND; Former Member, Bush Administration's First Special Envoy for Afghanistan
Ambassador Edward Gnehm, Former U.S. Ambassador to Jordan, Kuwait, and Australia; Director, Middle East Policy Forum, Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University
Geoffrey Kemp, Director, Regional Security Programs, The Nixon Center; Former Special Assistant to President Reagan for National Security Affairs
Hisham Melhem, Washington Bureau Chief, Al-Arabiya News Channel; Senior Correspondent, Annahar (Lebanon's leading daily)
Nicholas Eberstadt, Political Economist and Demographer; Henry Wendt Scholar in Political Economy, American Enterprise Institute; Author of The End of North Korea and The Poverty of "The Poverty Rate"
Ambassador Princeton N. Lyman, Director of African Studies, Council on Foreign Relations; Former Ambassador to Nigeria and South Africa
Kenneth Pollack, Senior Fellow, Foreign Policy Studies, Brookings Institution; Former Iran-Iraq Military Analyst, CIA; Former Director for National Security Studies, Council on Foreign Relations
Ambassador Roger Noriega, Associate, Visión Américas; Former U.S. Ambassador to the Organization of American States (OAS)
Bruce Riedel, Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution; Former CIA Officer and National Security Council Staff Member; Author, The Search for Al Qaeda: Its Leadership, Ideology and Future
The seminar will offer several case studies and simulations that will be conducted by experts noted for their personal role in the policy arena, business world, analytical and media community, and other critical areas. An example of a case study follows:
Crisis Simulation: The Straits of Hormuz
The Straits of Hormuz is the world's most vital oil chokepoint. Nearly 20 mega-tankers — amounting to some 40% of the world's globally traded oil — pass through the waterway every day. Iran has the longest coastline along the Strait and has threatened to use its Navy to close down the waterway in the event of a conflict with the U.S. or other Western powers, or in the event of disruption to its own oil sales. A serious incident in the Strait would cause oil prices to skyrocket, threatening global recovery. The entire world has a stake in the future of the Strait.
To assess the worsening situation in the Gulf, the President has convened a working group from the staff of the National Security Council, key economic advisers, the State Department, the Defense Department, the Department of the Treasury, the intelligence community, and several prominent members of Congress. Within this context, the group will divide into four teams, each to address the following issues:
- What are the salient U.S. interests and how would they be ranked?
- What are the diplomatic, economic, and military means available to address the problem, and how can they most effectively be used?
- What states are likely to join with us in any kind of joint action and what are the costs and benefits of different alignments?
- Are they any divisions of opinion and power in Iran that can be exploited?
- What overt or covert coercive approaches might be developed and with what prospect of success?
- What immediate action needs to be taken and what longer term actions should be put in place?
Each team will appoint a spokesman to summarize in a plenary session these deliberations, conclusions, and recommendations.
The Program Moderator will be of international stature and will have extensive professional experience in the policy issues covered in this five-day seminar. The moderator will facilitate, when necessary, dialogue between the speakers and participants as well as lead the group discussions and Q&A sessions.
The fee for the five-day National and International Security: Strategic Considerations for Leaders seminar is $4,150 per person. The program will feature approximately 20 separate presentations, including case studies. Also included are working luncheons. An on-site Program Coordinator will assist participants as needed and coordinate daily activities.
The target audience for these seminars are civilians (GS-15 and above) and military (O-6 and above). Others who have a special interest in the subject, need-to-know, or are in key positions may apply. Seminar space is limited to assure that participants have ample time for open discussion with presenters. Upon registration, attendees will receive confirmation via email. Cancellations will be accepted in writing up to two weeks prior to each program. After that time, substitutions will be accepted. The Agency will be billed if registration is cancelled after the deadline.
The National and International Security Leadership program will be held in private meeting rooms at the Capitol Hill Club, located at 300 First Street, SE, in Washington, DC. The Club is directly across the street from the Capitol South Metro Station (Blue and Orange Lines). Business attire is required at the Capitol Hill Club.
Reporting information concerning registration time and workshop start and end times will be sent to all participants approximately two weeks prior to the start of each program. The seminar meeting room will open at 7:45am and seminars will be conducted from 8:15am to 4:00pm.
These programs are informal and strictly "off-the-record." No video, power point or audio-visual aids are utilized in seminar presentations.
If you have any questions or need further information, please call Iris Fernandez or Patricia Patton at 703-684-8807.